Today Match Prediction: India vs England 4th Match, Day 1 – July 23

Today match prediction poster for India vs England Test, showing England captain Ben Stokes on the left and India captain Shubman Gill on the right

The fourth Test of the India‑England series kicks off at Old Trafford, Manchester, from July 23 to 27, 2025. The series, known as the Anderson–Tendulkar Trophy, is at a crucial 2–1 in England’s favour—India must win to stay alive. Read this today match prediction to know all about the game, important information, and most importantly, who can win it. 
Match Details

The 4th match of the test will be played at Manchester. Here are the key details of the match:

MatchInd vs Eng, Match No. 5
DateMay 17, 2025
Time3:30 PM IST
VenueOld Trafford, Manchester
SeriesAnderson -Tendulkar Trophy

Pitch & Weather Report – Today Match Prediction

Manchester weather is not ideal. There are high chances of rain during the game. In fact, one day before the game, it was raining heavily. The rain is expected on all 5 days. Here is the breakdown of all 5 days’ weather forecast:

Day 1Rain Chances – 65% Temperatures – 14°C to 19°C
Day 2Rain Chances – 85% Temperatures – 19°C to 21°C
Day 3 & 4Rain Chances – 20% Temperatures – 20°C to 22°C
Day 5Rain Chances – 40% Temperatures – 19°C to 21°C

These overcast conditions will surely favour the pace bowlers, especially with the new ball. The opening session of the game will be interesting to see how batters tackle. The pitch of the ground is expected to dry in the latter stage of the game. If we don’t see the rain later part of the game, then it will favour spinners as well. 

History at Old Trafford

India have never won a Test at Manchester in nearly 90 years of playing there—four losses and five draws from nine games. The last match in 2014 ended in defeat too. So yes, history weighs heavy. 

Overall in England, India have played 139 Tests (since 1932), winning 36, losing 53, drawing 50. England lead 53–36. 

Team News & Conditions

India face injury concerns—Arshdeep Singh and Akash Deep are out. They brought in Anshul Kamboj for pace depth. Key players like Shubman Gill, KL Rahul, Bumrah missed some training due to rain. Navjot Singh Sidhu suggested inclusion of Sai Sudharsan too, while previous flop Karun Nair might be dropped. KL Rahul is just 60 runs short of 9,000 international runs—big milestone. 

England made just one change—Liam Dawson replaces injured Shoaib Bashir. Jofra Archer continues after his strong return. They’ve also been shifting mindset under Stokes and McCullum with a bazball edge. 

India Team Preview – Today Match Prediction

India come under pressure—they are behind the series now (2–1) with only two games left. After winning the 2nd Test emphatically, they narrowly lost at Lord’s by 22 runs. They need a win here to avoid losing the series. 

They’ll rely on Gill’s energy, Rahul’s form, Pant’s wicketkeeping, and their continuing pace attack with Bumrah–Siraj. Spinner Kuldeep Yadav may step up as experts say he can be key in these conditions.

India Predicted XI:

  1. KL Rahul 
  2. Yashasvi Jaiswal 
  3. Washington Sundar 
  4. Shubman Gill (C) 
  5. Rishabh Pant 
  6. Dhruv Jurel (WK) 
  7. Ravindra Jadeja 
  8. Shardul Thakur/Kuldeep Yadav 
  9. Jasprit Bumrah 
  10. Mohammed Siraj 
  11. Anshul Kamboj

England Team Preview – Today Match Prediction

England have momentum—leading the series and playing at a venue they’ve won 14 of their last 18 Tests. Toss choices are tricky—no team’s ever won here bowling first—but Stokes may bowl given damp early conditions. 

They need Archer and Woakes to step up, plus Joe Root’s form (978 runs at this stadium) could prove vital.

England’s Announced XI:

  1. Zak Crawley 
  2. Ben Duckett 
  3. Ollie Pope 
  4. Joe Root 
  5. Ben Stokes (C) 
  6. Harry Brook 
  7. Jamie Smith (WK)
  8. Liam Dawson 
  9. Brydon Carse 
  10. Jofra Archer 
  11. Chris Woakes

Head to Head – India vs England

Here is the complete India vs England head to head records:

Head to HeadIndiaEngland
Matches139139
Wins3653
Losses5336
Draw5050
Wins at Home 2638
Losses at Home1015

Today Match Prediction – Who Will Win?

England have home advantage, stats, morale, and seam-friendly conditions. India has history against them, injuries, and weather worries. But if India get the toss on a dry day, bat well early and use seam smartly, they can turn it into their today match prediction.

The chances of England winning this game are high. However, India has shown fight—they shouldn’t be counted out. For fans following this today match prediction, it’s shaping up to be an intense nail-biter.

Note: This is just a today match prediction based on current form, pitch, and stats. The real test plays out differently. This sports news is meant for fun and insight.

Quite possible—rain every day at 65–85% chance means likely delays and interruptions. Could stretch it into a draw.

KL Rahul – close to 9,000 runs; Joe Root – has record scores here; and Kuldeep Yadav – spinners may take control later.

Yes. Historically, batting first is good at Old Trafford since no one’s ever won bowling first. But rain may change that calculus.

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